A fun Big Ten game is set for Thursday night when the Michigan Wolverines (17-12, 11-7 in Big Ten) visit the Illinois Fighting Illini (19-10, 10-8). Jerry Palm currently has Michigan as the first team out of the bracket and Illinois as the eight seed in the Midwest. Below is my college basketball pick for Michigan vs Illinois.
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Michigan vs Illinois Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Illinois -4.5 |
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This game will be played at State Farm Center at 7:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 2, 2023.
Why Bet Illinois -4.5
✅ Illinois is 5-0 in their last five road games.
✅ The Fighting Illini are 15-5 in their last 20 home games against the Wolverines.
✅ Michigan is 0-5 in their last five games overall against Illinois.
NCAABB
Michigan Wolverines
Illinois Fighting Illini
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| MICH | Advanced Game Stats | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3 | Pace | 72.1 |
| 113.7 | Off.Rate | 88.5 |
| .340 | FTr | .277 |
| .423 | 3PAr | .340 |
| .595 | TS% | .441 |
| 53.5 | TRB% | 42.9 |
| 57.0 | AST% | 42.7 |
| 9.4 | STL% | 8.5 |
| 12.5 | BLK% | 8.8 |
| .572 | eFG% | .414 |
| 17.9 | TOV% | 12.4 |
| 37.1 | ORB% | 25.3 |
| .237 | TF/FGA | .170 |
Defense/Offense
| MICH | Advanced Game Stats | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3 | Pace | 72.1 |
| 94.9 | Off.Rate | 115.1 |
| .274 | FTr | .399 |
| .361 | 3PAr | .516 |
| .487 | TS% | .557 |
| 46.5 | TRB% | 57.1 |
| 37.6 | AST% | 54.0 |
| 10.5 | STL% | 7.3 |
| 6.2 | BLK% | 10.8 |
| .451 | eFG% | .516 |
| 17.5 | TOV% | 12.9 |
| 32.8 | ORB% | 36.4 |
| .198 | TF/FGA | .293 |
Betting Trends
| MICH | Betting Trends | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
| 76.33 | Avg Score | 68 |
| 65.33 | Avg Opp Score | 67.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 61.67 | Avg Score | 71 |
| 53.33 | Avg Opp Score | 63.67 |
| MICH | Betting Trends | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-3-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 69.8 | Avg Score | 70.6 |
| 64.4 | Avg Opp Score | 73.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 60.8 | Avg Score | 70.8 |
| 61.4 | Avg Opp Score | 61.4 |
| MICH | Betting Trends | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 6-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 71.8 | Avg Score | 70.3 |
| 67.2 | Avg Opp Score | 67.5 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 67.6 | Avg Score | 72.6 |
| 68.7 | Avg Opp Score | 62.1 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
Michigan Wolverines
Last time out, Michigan hosted the Wisconsin Badgers and earned a miracle 87-79 overtime victory. It appeared the Badgers were going to leave Ann Arbor with a huge road win, but Hunter Dickinson had other ideas. As the buzzer sounded, Dickinson chucked up a three to tie the game and send it to overtime. Michigan carried that momentum into the extra period and got the win. Michigan led by as many as 11 points, trailed by eight, and covered the -6.0 spread.
Hunter Dickinson had 23 points, 10 rebounds, four assists, one steal, and two blocks on the day. Kobe Bufkin added 28 points, eight rebounds, two assists, and two steals in the win.
Through 29 games, Michigan is scoring 73.4 points per game, shooting 45.1% from the field, and assisting on 12.3 made shots. The Fighting Illini are allowing 68.7 points, grabbing 36.2 rebounds, blocking 4.6 shots, and stealing the ball 6.7 times.
Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois visited the Ohio State Buckeyes and left with a bad 72-60 defeat. The Fighting Illini never showed up for this one and made the Buckeyes look like their early season form. Ohio State led by 12 points at the half and were able to hold off a second half Fighting Illini run. Illinois trailed by as many as 15 points, led by five, and lost outright as four-point favorites.
Coleman Hawkins had 14 points, seven rebounds, two assists, two steals, and one block in the game. Terrence Shannon Jr. added 10 points, four rebounds, and two assists in the loss.
After 29 games, Illinois is scoring 74.2 points per game, shooting 45.1% from the field, and assisting on 12.5 made shots. The Fighting Illini are allowing 65.6 points, grabbing 38.2 rebounds, blocking 5.7 shots, and stealing the ball 6.7 times.
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