The No. 1 Louisville Cardinals (7-0) welcome the No. 4 Michigan Wolverines (7-0) in a matchup that pits great offense against exceptional defense. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 3, 2019, and will air on ESPN.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Louisville Cardinals ATS Prediction
In the Wolverines’ last matchup, they thoroughly outplayed the No. 8 Gonzaga Bulldogs, 82-64. Michigan’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Gonzaga. The Wolverines had a rate of 0.635 (above their season average of 0.611), while the Bulldogs posted a mark of 0.446 (below their season average of 0.580). Michigan rallied around Jon Teske, who recorded 19 points and 15 rebounds.
The Cardinals beat the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in their last matchup, 71-54. The Cardinals had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 41.4 (above their season average of 32.8) and had a free throw rate of 0.346 (above their season average of 0.238). Jordan Nwora was the game’s top scorer with 25 points on 8-for-15 shooting from the field.
This showdown pits one of the NCAA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Louisville ranks 42nd in offensive efficiency and Michigan is seventh in defensive efficiency dating back to the 2018-19 season. The Wolverines should be expected to protect the ball well. They rank 5th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 15.0 percent). Conversely, the Cardinals have forced the 20th-fewest turnovers in the nation (opponents’ turnover percentage of 16.2 percent).
Michigan Wolverines vs. Louisville Cardinals Betting Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Louisville, O/U – Over
Michigan ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (16.8) while Louisville ranks 179th (22.4).
The Cardinals rank 40th in rebounds per game (38.4) while the Wolverines rank 168th (35.4).
Michigan ranks 200th in steals per game (6.0) while Louisville ranks 298th (4.5).
The Wolverines average 4.3 blocks per game, which ranks 58th in the nation. The Cardinals rank 116th in blocks allowed per game (3.2).
Michigan is 12th in the country with 10.1 assists allowed per game while Louisville is 43rd with 11.1 assists allowed per game.