A Big East blockbuster is set for Sunday afternoon when the Michigan State Spartans (14-7, 6-4 in Big Ten) visit the #1 Purdue Boilermakers (20-1, 9-1). These are two of the top four teams in the conference and this could be a Big Ten Championship game preview. Below is my college basketball prediction for Michigan State vs Purdue.
Michigan State vs Purdue Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Purdue -8.5 |
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This game will be played at Mackey Arena at 12:15 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 29, 2023.
Why Bet Purdue -8.5
✅ Purdue is 7-0 straight up in their last seven games played.
✅ The Boilermakers are 5-0 in their last five home games against the Spartans.
✅ Michigan State is 2-10 against the spread in their last 12 road games.
NCAABB
Michigan State Spartans
Purdue Boilermakers
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| MST | Advanced Game Stats | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 73.1 | Pace | 68.8 |
| 113.5 | Off.Rate | 103.5 |
| .410 | FTr | .218 |
| .313 | 3PAr | .385 |
| .543 | TS% | .512 |
| 57.1 | TRB% | 48.1 |
| 63.8 | AST% | 59.3 |
| 8.2 | STL% | 7.6 |
| 13.4 | BLK% | 6.0 |
| .484 | eFG% | .484 |
| 12.6 | TOV% | 12.6 |
| 37.5 | ORB% | 29.5 |
| .328 | TF/FGA | .163 |
Defense/Offense
| MST | Advanced Game Stats | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 73.1 | Pace | 68.8 |
| 90.9 | Off.Rate | 123.8 |
| .286 | FTr | .443 |
| .392 | 3PAr | .394 |
| .478 | TS% | .637 |
| 42.9 | TRB% | 51.9 |
| 53.3 | AST% | 66.7 |
| 9.2 | STL% | 7.6 |
| 6.8 | BLK% | 8.4 |
| .431 | eFG% | .620 |
| 16.0 | TOV% | 13.6 |
| 24.4 | ORB% | 28.2 |
| .224 | TF/FGA | .303 |
Betting Trends
| MST | Betting Trends | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-1-1 |
| 67.33 | Avg Score | 64.67 |
| 66.67 | Avg Opp Score | 54.67 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
| 68 | Avg Score | 65 |
| 74 | Avg Opp Score | 58.33 |
| MST | Betting Trends | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-2-1 |
| 66.2 | Avg Score | 66.2 |
| 67.8 | Avg Opp Score | 56.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
| 64.6 | Avg Score | 70.2 |
| 70 | Avg Opp Score | 55.4 |
| MST | Betting Trends | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-5-1 |
| 68.9 | Avg Score | 69.8 |
| 63.5 | Avg Opp Score | 58.1 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-8-0 |
| 68.7 | Avg Score | 74.4 |
| 71.4 | Avg Opp Score | 60 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Michigan State Spartans
Last time out, Michigan State hosted the Iowa Hawkeyes and escaped with a 63-61 win. Fans were treated to an entertaining game that saw the Spartans withstand the early Hawkeyes blow and earn the win. The Hawkeyes scored the first 10 points of the game, but Sparty grabbed the lead by the half and were able to hold on in the second half. Michigan State trailed by as many as 10 points, never led by more than four, and just missed covering the -2.5-point spread.
Mady Sissoko had 10 points, 10 rebounds, one steal, and two blocks in the victory. Tyson Walker added 10 points, two rebounds, five assists, and one steal on the night.
Through 21 games, Michigan State is scoring 69.3 points per game, shooting 44.4% from the field, and assisting on 15.0 made shots. The Spartans are allowing 65.6 points, grabbing 37.0 rebounds, blocking 3.0 shots, and stealing the ball 5.0 times.
Purdue Boilermakers
Purdue visited the Michigan Wolverines and left with a tough 75-70 victory. This game was tied with under eight minutes to go in the first half, but the Boilermakers took the lead and never gave it back. The Wolverines trailed by six points at the half and were behind by a big margin most of the second half. Purdue led by as many as 13 points, never trailed by more than six, and pushed on the -5.0-point spread.
Zach Edey had 19 points, nine rebounds, one assist, and two blocks in the win. Fletcher Loyer added 17 points, two rebounds, and one steal on the night.
After 21 games, Purdue is scoring 73.6 points per game, shooting 45.7% from the field, and assisting on 15.0 made shots. The Boilermakers are allowing 60.3 points, grabbing 39.6 rebounds, blocking 4.2 shots, and stealing the ball 4.7 times.
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