An important Big Ten game is set for Friday night when the Michigan State Spartans (12-4, 4-1 in Big Ten) visit the Illinois Fighting Illini (11-5, 2-3). Both teams enter in good form as Michigan State is on a seven-game winning streak and Illinois has won their past two games. Below is my college basketball pick for Michigan State vs Illinois.
Michigan State vs Illinois Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | Illinois -5 |
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This game will be played at State Farm Center at 9:00 p.m. ET on Friday, January 13, 2023.
Why Bet Illinois -5
✅ Illinois is 10-1 straight up in their last 11 home games.
✅ Michigan State is 7-13 against the spread in their last 20 games against Illinois.
✅ The Spartans are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.
NCAABB
Michigan State Spartans
Illinois Fighting Illini
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| MST | Advanced Game Stats | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2 | Pace | 72.1 |
| 115.9 | Off.Rate | 88.5 |
| .403 | FTr | .277 |
| .346 | 3PAr | .340 |
| .580 | TS% | .441 |
| 58.1 | TRB% | 42.9 |
| 63.4 | AST% | 42.7 |
| 8.4 | STL% | 8.5 |
| 12.0 | BLK% | 8.8 |
| .529 | eFG% | .414 |
| 14.5 | TOV% | 12.4 |
| 35.9 | ORB% | 25.3 |
| .324 | TF/FGA | .170 |
Defense/Offense
| MST | Advanced Game Stats | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2 | Pace | 72.1 |
| 96.2 | Off.Rate | 115.1 |
| .296 | FTr | .399 |
| .403 | 3PAr | .516 |
| .509 | TS% | .557 |
| 41.9 | TRB% | 57.1 |
| 54.5 | AST% | 54.0 |
| 9.3 | STL% | 7.3 |
| 6.9 | BLK% | 10.8 |
| .473 | eFG% | .516 |
| 15.4 | TOV% | 12.9 |
| 22.0 | ORB% | 36.4 |
| .216 | TF/FGA | .293 |
Betting Trends
| MST | Betting Trends | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 67.33 | Avg Score | 71.67 |
| 58 | Avg Opp Score | 64 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
| 62.67 | Avg Score | 77.33 |
| 64.33 | Avg Opp Score | 56 |
| MST | Betting Trends | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 71.6 | Avg Score | 74.2 |
| 59.2 | Avg Opp Score | 67.4 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
| 67.4 | Avg Score | 72.8 |
| 66.8 | Avg Opp Score | 57.2 |
| MST | Betting Trends | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
| 68.6 | Avg Score | 72.2 |
| 62.1 | Avg Opp Score | 65.1 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 8-2-0 |
| 6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
| 69.1 | Avg Score | 78.5 |
| 72.4 | Avg Opp Score | 58.3 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Michigan State Spartans
Last time out, Michigan State visited the #18 Wisconsin Badgers and left with a tight 69-65 win. This was a tense game that saw both teams go back-and-forth for all 40 minutes. The Spartans led by two at the break and overcame a slight second half deficit to get the big road win. Michigan State trailed by as many as five points, led by as much as six, and covered the -1.5-point spread.
Joey Hauser had 20 points and eight rebounds on the night. AJ Hoggard added 10 points, four rebounds, and eight assists in the victory.
Through 16 games, Michigan State is scoring 70.3 points per game, shooting 4.6% from the field, and assisting on 16.2 made shots. The Spartans are allowing 64.9 points, grabbing 37.8 rebounds, blocking 3.1 shots, and stealing the ball 4.7 times.
Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois took a trip to Lincoln and left with an easy 76-50 win over the Nebraska Cornhuskers. The game was tight for the first six minutes, but the Fighting Illini took control from there and built a double-digit halftime lead. It was much of the same in the second half as Illinois left with a needed win. Illinois led by as many as 26 points, never trailed by more than two, and easily covered the -3.5-point spread.
Terrence Shannon Jr. had 25 points, 11 rebounds, four assists, and four steals in the victory. Coleman Hawkins added 12 points, three rebounds, five assists, one steal, and one block on the night.
After 16 games, Illinois is scoring 76.9 points per game, shooting 46.1% from the field, and assisting on 14.2 made shots. The Fighting Illini are allowing 63.8 points, grabbing 39.5 rebounds, blocking 6.0 shots, and stealing the ball 7.9 times.
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