Miami vs Duke College Basketball ATS Pick & Prediction 1/21/23

Vincent Senick on January 22nd, 2023

On Saturday afternoon, the Miami Hurricanes and Duke Blue Devils will meet in ACC action at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Miami comes into this game in second place in the ACC standings, and ranked in the top-20 in the country. But Duke will look to remain unbeaten at home and knock Miami off its perch. In our college basketball picks for Saturday, we break down this Miami vs Duke matchup.

Miami vs Duke Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick:	Miami +4.5
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This game will be played at Cameron Indoor Stadium at 12:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 21, 2023.

Why Bet Miami +4.5

✅ Miami is 4-2 against the spread in their last six games played.

✅ The Hurricanes are 7-2 ATS in their last nine ACC games.

✅ Duke is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.

NCAABB

Jan 21, 2023 12:00 PM

Miami Hurricanes

Duke Blue Devils

Spread Pick Consensus

N/A MIA

DUKE N/A

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+217

-270

N/A MIA

DUKE N/A

Total Pick Consensus

148.5/

148.5/

N/A UN

OV N/A

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

MIA	Team Stats Per Game	DUKE
98	PTS GM	58
63.67	FGA	60.25
.576	FG%	.336
.427	3PT%	.257
9.33	ORB	9.75
9.89	DRB	5.75
39	TRB	32.75
17.33	FTA	13.5
.808	FT%	.815
18	AST	10.25
3	BLK	2.5
8	TO	14.25
16.33	PF	16

Defense/Offense

MIA	Team Stats Per Game	DUKE
66.33	PTS GM	88.5
54.67	FGA	66.75
.433	FG%	.479
.317	3PT%	.372
6.33	ORB	13.25
6.45	DRB	7.75
25.67	TRB	44.25
20	FTA	16.5
.617	FT%	.758
13.67	AST	18
2.33	BLK	4.5
11.67	TO	9.5
16	PF	15

Advanced Game Stats

Offense/Defense

MIA	Advanced Game Stats	DUKE
70.0	Pace	71.0
139.9	Off.Rate	81.7
.272	FTr	.224
.393	3PAr	.419
.682	TS%	.435
60.3	TRB%	42.5
49.1	AST%	50.6
13.3	STL%	9.5
8.9	BLK%	7.2
.660	eFG%	.390
10.0	TOV%	17.6
32.6	ORB%	23.9
.220	TF/FGA	.183

Defense/Offense

MIA	Advanced Game Stats	DUKE
70.0	Pace	71.0
94.7	Off.Rate	124.6
.366	FTr	.247
.384	3PAr	.483
.517	TS%	.593
39.7	TRB%	57.5
57.7	AST%	56.3
5.2	STL%	12.3
6.0	BLK%	12.9
.494	eFG%	.569
15.4	TOV%	11.3
17.6	ORB%	36.6
.226	TF/FGA	.187

Betting Trends

MIA	Betting Trends	DUKE
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	0-3-0
83.67	Avg Score	68.67
77.67	Avg Opp Score	68.33
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-0-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
75.67	Avg Score	81.67
74.67	Avg Opp Score	63.67

MIA	Betting Trends	DUKE
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-2-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-4-0
79.4	Avg Score	70.4
74.8	Avg Opp Score	71.2
AWAY		HOME
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	5-0-0
3-1-1	ATS W/L/P	2-3-0
74.6	Avg Score	80.2
68.2	Avg Opp Score	64.4

MIA	Betting Trends	DUKE
OVERALL		OVERALL
8-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	7-3-0
6-4-0	ATS W/L/P	3-7-0
82.1	Avg Score	73.4
74.5	Avg Opp Score	68.5
AWAY		HOME
6-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	9-1-0
7-2-1	ATS W/L/P	4-6-0
72.1	Avg Score	76.9
69.6	Avg Opp Score	59.5

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/11/2022	MIA DUKE	148.5 -9.0	+333 -445	76 80
01/08/2022	MIA DUKE	152.5 -15.0	+837 -1495	76 74
02/01/2021	DUKE MIA	136.0 11.0	-611 +441	75 77
01/21/2020	MIA DUKE	147.5 -18.5	+1700 -10000	59 89
01/04/2020	DUKE MIA	150.5 8.5	-556 +400	95 62
03/02/2019	MIA DUKE	151.0 -15.0	+850 -1300	57 87
01/15/2018	DUKE MIA	153.0 5.0	-200 +170	83 75
02/25/2017	DUKE MIA	136.0 1.0	-118 -102	50 55
01/21/2017	MIA DUKE	141.0 -9.5	+405 -500	58 70
01/25/2016	DUKE MIA	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	69 80

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/12/24	MIA BOSCOL	244.9 8.2	-259 +214	107 134
03/09/24	MIA FLST	61.2 -1.8	+65 -79	30 33
03/06/24	BOSCOL MIA	119.2 -4.3	+160 -199	52 44
02/26/24	MIA NCAR	226.7 -21.3	+1160 -2082	104 110
02/24/24	GTECH MIA	226.3 -13.0	+465 -598	123 117
02/21/24	DUKE MIA	91.5 2.7	-190 +150	52 34
02/17/24	MIA BOSCOL	164.8 -1.1	-115 -129	84 93
02/14/24	MIA CLMSN	67.6 -3.1	+109 -140	27 34
02/10/24	NCAR MIA	49.9 0.3	-57 +47	23 22
02/05/24	MIA VIR	137.7 -5.8	+203 -254	40 63

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/31/24	NCST DUKE	77.5 -3.8	+132 -166	41 35
03/29/24	DUKE HOU	73.6 -2.5	+93 -116	30 28
03/24/24	JMAD DUKE	255.2 -10.4	+368 -472	95 161
03/22/24	VERM DUKE	205.6 -19.2	+864 -1295	72 98
03/14/24	NCST DUKE	51.1 -3.9	+165 -235	26 24
03/09/24	NCAR DUKE	60.0 -1.8	+73 -90	34 32
03/04/24	DUKE NCST	107.2 3.0	-191 +152	56 46
03/02/24	VIR DUKE	114.7 -9.1	+370 -507	44 67
02/28/24	LOU DUKE	171.3 -23.2	+1644 -5051	67 95
02/24/24	DUKE WAKE	232.4 -4.6	+193 -233	121 127

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Miami Hurricanes

Last time out, Miami hosted the Syracuse Orange and needed a big a big second half to win 82-78. The Orange were in control most of this game and held a four-point advantage going into halftime. Syracuse kept that lead for most of the second half, but the Hurricanes grabbed the lead with under four minutes to go and never let it go. Miami trailed by as many as 11 points, led by as much as nine, and could not cover the -7.0-point spread.

Norchad Omier had 16 points, 16 rebounds, one assist, and two blocks on the night. Jordan Miller added 13 points, seven rebounds, seven assists, and one steal in the victory.

Through 18 games, Miami is scoring 78.4 points per game, shooting 48.1% from the field, and assisting on 14.7 made shots. The Hurricanes are allowing 69.9 points, grabbing 34.8 rebounds, blocking 3.8 shots, and stealing the ball 7.8 times.

Duke Blue Devils

Duke visited the Clemson Tigers and left with a 72-64 defeat. The Tigers led early on, but the Blue Devils led by four at the half and held on to that lead for most of the second half. Duke gave up the lead with just six minutes left and were not able to get the lead back. The Blue Devils led by as many as eight points, trailed by as much as 10, and lost outright as -1.5-point road favorites.

Kyle Filipowski had 18 points, 14 rebounds, and one block on the day. Tyrese Proctor added 17 points, five rebounds, and one assist in the loss. After 18 games, Duke is scoring 72.2 points per game, shooting 43.1% from the field, and assisting on 13.9 made shots. The Blue Devils are allowing 63.4 points, grabbing 39.8 rebounds, blocking 4.3 shots, and stealing the ball 6.0 times.